Nature 503, 235–237 (2013 November 14)
doi:10.1038/nature12671

The trajectory, structure and origin of the Chelyabinsk asteroidal impactor 

Jiri Borovicka1, Pavel Spurny1, Peter Brown2,3, Paul Wiegert2,3, Pavel Kalenda4, David Clark2,3 & Lukas Shrbeny1

1Astronomical Institute, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, CZ-25165 Ondrejov, Czech Republic
2
Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A3K7, Canada
3Centre for Planetary Science and Exploration, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A 5B7, Canada
4Institute of Rock Structure and Mechanics, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, V Holesovickach 41, CZ-18209 Praha 8, Czech Republic

Abstract. Earth is continuously colliding with fragments of asteroids and comets of various sizes. The largest encounter in historical times occurred over the Tunguska river in Siberia in 1908, producing an airburst of energy equivalent to 5–15 megatons of trinitrotoluene (1 kiloton of trinitrotoluene represents an energy of 4.185 ×1012 joules).Until recently, the next most energetic airburst events occurred over Indonesia in 2009 and near the Marshall Islands in 1994, both with energies of several tens of kilotons. Here we report an analysis of selected video records of the Chelyabinsk superbolide of 15 February 2013, with energy equivalent to 500 kilotons of trinitrotoluene, and details of its atmospheric passage.We found that its orbit was similar to the orbit of the two-kilometre-diameter asteroid 86039 (1999 NC43), to a degree of statistical significance sufficient to suggest that the two were once part of the same object. The bulk strength—the ability to resist breakage—of the Chelyabinsk asteroid, of about one megapascal, was similar to that of smaller meteoroids and corresponds to a heavily fractured single stone. The asteroid broke into small pieces between the altitudes of 45 and 30 kilometres, preventing more-serious damage on the ground. The total mass of surviving fragments larger than 100 grams was lower than expected.

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